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Tar Heels vs Cardinals

Gameday · TUE JAN 5
North CarolinaVSLouisvilleAP #11
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip9:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
KFC Yum! Center · Louisville, KY

Win probability

1912 blend
33% UNCLOU 67%
Adj. efficiency30%
70%
SRS33%
67%
Elo37%
63%
LOU +4.4
Proj. margin
150.6
Proj. total
68.3
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
  • 4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
  • 2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
  • 99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
  • 32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4

    Louisville: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +23.3Adj. net rating+27.4
    27thAdj. net rank17th
    121.7Adj. offense124.1
    98.5Adj. defense96.7
    68.3Pace—
    11.4SRS13.3
    1958Elo2054
    24–9Record—

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 33 games
    79.7Points—
    71.6Opp points—
    54.3%eFG%—
    14.0%TO%—
    28.2%OREB%—
    .37FT rate—
    42%3PA rate—
    57%Assisted FG%—

    Last five games

    North Carolina
    L78-82vs VCU
    L79-80vs CLEM
    L61-76@ DUKE
    W67-63vs CLEM
    W89-82vs VT
    Louisville
    L69-77@ MSU
    W83-79vs USF
    L73-78@ MIA
    W62-58vs SMU
    W92-89@ MIA

    Head to head

    Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27
    25-26LOU 74 · UNC 77Mon, 2/23
    24-25UNC 70 · LOU 83Wed, 1/1
    23-24LOU 70 · UNC 86Wed, 1/17
    22-23UNC 80 · LOU 59Sat, 1/14
    21-22LOU 63 · UNC 70Mon, 2/21
    21-22UNC 90 · LOU 83Tue, 2/1
    20-21LOU 54 · UNC 99Sat, 2/20
    19-20UNC 55 · LOU 72Sat, 2/22
    18-19LOU 70 · UNC 83Thu, 3/14
    18-19UNC 79 · LOU 69Sat, 2/2

    Game information

    TipTuesday, Jan 5 · 9:00 PM ET
    VenueKFC Yum! Center · Louisville, KY

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData