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Mustangs vs Lancers

Gameday · SAT JAN 2
Cal PolyVSCalifornia Baptist
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
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Tip8:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · Riverside, CA

Win probability

1912 blend
18% CPCBU 82%
Adj. efficiency17%
83%
SRS18%
82%
Elo20%
80%
CBU +6.8
Proj. margin
152.1
Proj. total
70.4
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 9P.BandeljG · 3.3 APG13.0
  • 14C.WardG · 1.6 APG14.5
  • 10H.MousaG · 2.0 APG20.4
  • 3J.DavisG · 1.8 APG5.4
  • 5G.VasilicG · 1.1 APG7.5
  • 33M.WilliamsG · 1.5 APG12.8
  • 3J.JacksonG · 1.8 APG9.0
  • 8J.GrimanF · 5.9 RPG6.1
  • 25T.NdongF · 6.5 RPG4.9
  • 42B.HenigeF · 5.5 RPG4.9

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
-4.8Adj. net rating+5.9
220thAdj. net rank106th
109.0Adj. offense107.4
113.9Adj. defense101.5
75.6Pace65.3
-3.6SRS3.6
1655Elo1895
14–19Record25–9

Season per game

2025-26 · 33 games / 2025-26 · 34 games
82.1Points72.6
85.0Opp points67.6
51.9%eFG%48.3%
20.0%TO%19.0%
29.6%OREB%34.5%
.35FT rate.36
52%3PA rate32%
50%Assisted FG%40%

Last five games

Cal Poly
L69-72@ UCSD
W108-76vs CSUB
L85-107@ UCI
L64-80@ UCSD
W102-92vs LBSU
California Baptist
L60-68@ KU
W63-61@ UVU
W86-72vs UTU
W82-75@ SUU
W87-48vs ACU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27
23-24CP 58 · CBU 67Sun, 11/19
22-23CBU 53 · CP 64Sat, 12/3
21-22CP 55 · CBU 64Thu, 12/2

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 2 · 8:00 PM ET
VenueDale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · Riverside, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData