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Nittany Lions vs Fighting Illini

Gameday · SAT DEC 12
Penn StateVSIllinoisAP #3
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip2:00 PM ET
WatchFS1
LineNot posted
State Farm Center · Champaign, IL

Win probability

1912 blend
2% PSUILL 98%
Adj. efficiency1%
99%
SRS2%
98%
Elo1%
99%
ILL +13.6
Proj. margin
143.7
Proj. total
62.9
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
    • 0D.MirkovicF · 8.0 RPG13.3
    • 13T.IvisicC · 0.6 BPG10.4
    • 15J.DavisF · 2.2 RPG5.4
    • 2A.StojakovicG · 1.0 APG13.5
    • 44Z.IvisicF · 4.5 RPG6.4

    Penn State: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +2.8Adj. net rating+36.6
    137thAdj. net rank4th
    114.7Adj. offense133.4
    111.9Adj. defense96.8
    —Pace62.9
    -2.3SRS17.2
    1484Elo2262
    —Record28–9

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 37 games
    —Points83.2
    —Opp points68.8
    —eFG%54.7%
    —TO%14.0%
    —OREB%32.6%
    —FT rate.33
    —3PA rate50%
    —Assisted FG%50%

    Last five games

    Illinois
    L62-71@ CONN
    W71-59vs IOWA
    W65-55@ HOU
    W76-55vs VCU
    W105-70vs PENN

    Head to head

    2025-26–2026-27
    25-26ILL 73 · PSU 65Sat, 1/3

    Game information

    TipSaturday, Dec 12 · 2:00 PM ET
    VenueState Farm Center · Champaign, IL
    WatchFS1

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData