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Bulldogs vs Aggies

Gameday · SAT FEB 27
Fresno StateVSUtah State
Tip time TBD
TipTBD
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT

Win probability

1912 blend
8% FRESUSU 92%
Adj. efficiency6%
94%
SRS8%
92%
Elo10%
90%
USU +10.0
Proj. margin
149.0
Proj. total
67.9
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
    • 12M.FalslevG · 3.1 APG16.0
    • 32Z.KellerF · 2.0 RPG3.5
    • 22K.TemplinF · 4.2 RPG8.8
    • 3T.AndersonF · 1.2 RPG3.4
    • 11G.ClarkF · 4.3 RPG6.9

    Fresno State: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +3.2Adj. net rating+23.6
    131stAdj. net rank26th
    108.6Adj. offense124.3
    105.4Adj. defense100.6
    —Pace67.9
    -1.6SRS10.7
    1639Elo2016
    —Record29–7

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 36 games
    —Points82.2
    —Opp points70.7
    —eFG%56.9%
    —TO%15.0%
    —OREB%31.3%
    —FT rate.38
    —3PA rate41%
    —Assisted FG%61%

    Last five games

    Utah State
    L66-78@ ARIZ
    W86-76@ VILL
    W73-62vs SDSU
    W79-66vs NEV
    W80-60vs UNLV

    Head to head

    Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27
    25-26FRES 78 · USU 91Tue, 2/10
    25-26USU 72 · FRES 63Tue, 12/30
    24-25USU 89 · FRES 81Fri, 2/7
    24-25FRES 83 · USU 89Sat, 1/4
    23-24FRES 75 · USU 87Thu, 3/14
    23-24USU 77 · FRES 73Tue, 2/27
    23-24FRES 62 · USU 83Sat, 1/20
    22-23USU 70 · FRES 53Sat, 1/28
    22-23FRES 54 · USU 67Sat, 12/31
    21-22USU 54 · FRES 61Tue, 1/18

    Game information

    TipSaturday, Feb 27 · time TBD
    VenueDee Glen Smith Spectrum · Logan, UT

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData