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Bears vs Texans

Gameday · SAT DEC 12
Missouri StateVSTarleton State
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip5:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
ECCU Center · Stephenville, TX

Win probability

1912 blend
54% MOSTTAR 46%
Adj. efficiency47%
53%
SRS44%
56%
Elo72%
28%
MOST +1.9
Proj. margin
144.5
Proj. total
66.5
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 1T.Williams Jr.G · 3.2 APG9.4
  • 0K.WilliamsG · 1.6 APG14.4
  • 23M.Osei-BonsuF · 7.3 RPG15.3
  • 13Z.KingG · 1.6 APG7.2
  • 4A.BurnettG · 1.0 APG4.7

    Tarleton State: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    -2.1Adj. net rating-5.4
    194thAdj. net rank222nd
    109.4Adj. offense104.2
    111.5Adj. defense109.6
    66.5Pace—
    -1.9SRS-3.1
    1768Elo1602
    16–18Record—

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 34 games
    75.0Points—
    73.6Opp points—
    51.7%eFG%—
    17.0%TO%—
    33.3%OREB%—
    .42FT rate—
    41%3PA rate—
    57%Assisted FG%—

    Last five games

    Missouri State
    L66-69@ LT
    W77-69@ LIB
    W75-72@ FIU
    L63-75vs MTSU
    W87-74vs WKU
    Tarleton State
    L78-84@ ACU
    L60-65vs UTA
    L67-82@ CBU
    L72-79@ UVU
    L72-80vs UTU

    Game information

    TipSaturday, Dec 12 · 5:00 PM ET
    VenueECCU Center · Stephenville, TX

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData