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Cardinals vs Wolfpack

Gameday · TUE MAR 2
LouisvilleAP #11VSNC State
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip7:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Lenovo Center · Raleigh, NC

Win probability

1912 blend
61% LOUNCSU 39%
Adj. efficiency55%
45%
SRS53%
47%
Elo74%
26%
LOU +0.8
Proj. margin
149.3
Proj. total
66.6
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
    • 22V.LubinF · 7.1 RPG13.6
    • 1D.WilliamsF · 4.6 RPG14.0
    • 2P.McNeil Jr.G · 0.8 APG13.8
    • 7A.BreedG · 1.3 APG4.5
    • 13M.SagniaF · 2.8 RPG2.3

    Louisville: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +27.4Adj. net rating+20.7
    17thAdj. net rank34th
    124.1Adj. offense124.1
    96.7Adj. defense103.4
    —Pace66.6
    13.3SRS9.4
    2054Elo1868
    —Record20–14

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 34 games
    —Points83.2
    —Opp points76.3
    —eFG%55.0%
    —TO%14.0%
    —OREB%28.3%
    —FT rate.35
    —3PA rate43%
    —Assisted FG%54%

    Last five games

    Louisville
    L69-77@ MSU
    W83-79vs USF
    L73-78@ MIA
    W62-58vs SMU
    W92-89@ MIA
    NC State
    L66-68vs TEX
    L74-81@ UVA
    W98-88vs PITT
    L84-85vs STAN
    L64-93vs DUKE

    Head to head

    2018-19–2026-27
    25-26NCSU 77 · LOU 118Mon, 2/9
    24-25LOU 91 · NCSU 66Wed, 2/12
    23-24LOU 85 · NCSU 94Tue, 3/12
    23-24NCSU 89 · LOU 83Sat, 1/13
    22-23LOU 64 · NCSU 76Thu, 12/22
    21-22NCSU 79 · LOU 63Wed, 1/12
    21-22LOU 73 · NCSU 68Sat, 12/4
    19-20LOU 77 · NCSU 57Sat, 2/1
    18-19NCSU 77 · LOU 84Thu, 1/24

    Game information

    TipTuesday, Mar 2 · 7:00 PM ET
    VenueLenovo Center · Raleigh, NC

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData