Tar Heels vs Panthers
Tip9:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Petersen Events Center · Pittsburgh, PA
Win probability
1912 blend75% UNCPITT 25%
Adj. efficiency76%
24%
SRS71%
29%
Elo77%
23%
UNC +2.4
Proj. margin
150.2
Proj. total
68.3
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Returning starters · 2025-26 stats
PPG
15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4
Pittsburgh: no starters to list yet.
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+23.3Adj. net rating+7.3
27thAdj. net rank98th
121.7Adj. offense113.5
98.5Adj. defense106.1
68.3Pace—
11.4SRS2.3
1958Elo1749
24–9Record—
Season per game
2025-26 · 33 games79.7Points—
71.6Opp points—
54.3%eFG%—
14.0%TO%—
28.2%OREB%—
.37FT rate—
42%3PA rate—
57%Assisted FG%—
Last five games
North Carolina
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
L61-76@ DUKE
W67-63vs CLEM
W89-82vs VT
Game information
TipTuesday, Mar 2 · 9:00 PM ET
VenuePetersen Events Center · Pittsburgh, PA
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData


