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Wolfpack vs Blue Devils

Gameday · SAT FEB 27
NC StateVSDukeAP #2
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
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Tip12:00 PM ET
WatchESPN
LineNot posted
Cameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC

Win probability

1912 blend
7% NCSUDUKE 93%
Adj. efficiency7%
93%
SRS9%
91%
Elo6%
94%
DUKE +9.6
Proj. margin
148.2
Proj. total
66.5
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 22V.LubinF · 7.1 RPG13.6
  • 1D.WilliamsF · 4.6 RPG14.0
  • 2P.McNeil Jr.G · 0.8 APG13.8
  • 7A.BreedG · 1.3 APG4.5
  • 13M.SagniaF · 2.8 RPG2.3
  • 7D.SarrG · 1.1 APG6.4
  • 1C.FosterG · 2.8 APG8.3
  • 21P.Ngongba IIC · 1.1 BPG10.1
  • 2C.BoozerG · 2.9 APG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
+20.7Adj. net rating+40.4
34thAdj. net rank2nd
124.1Adj. offense129.2
103.4Adj. defense88.7
66.6Pace66.5
9.4SRS21.1
1868Elo2349
20–14Record35–3

Season per game

2025-26 · 34 games / 2025-26 · 38 games
83.2Points81.6
76.3Opp points63.6
55.0%eFG%56.7%
14.0%TO%16.0%
28.3%OREB%30.8%
.35FT rate.38
43%3PA rate44%
54%Assisted FG%58%

Last five games

NC State
L66-68vs TEX
L74-81@ UVA
W98-88vs PITT
L84-85vs STAN
L64-93vs DUKE
Duke
L72-73vs CONN
W80-75vs SJU
W81-58vs TCU
W71-65vs SIE
W74-70vs UVA

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27
25-26DUKE 93 · NCSU 64Mon, 3/2
24-25NCSU 64 · DUKE 74Mon, 1/27
23-24NCSU 76 · DUKE 64Sun, 3/31
23-24NCSU 74 · DUKE 69Thu, 3/14
23-24DUKE 79 · NCSU 64Mon, 3/4
22-23NCSU 67 · DUKE 71Tue, 2/28
22-23DUKE 60 · NCSU 84Wed, 1/4
21-22NCSU 73 · DUKE 88Sat, 1/15
20-21DUKE 69 · NCSU 53Sat, 2/13
19-20NCSU 69 · DUKE 88Mon, 3/2

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · 12:00 PM ET
VenueCameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC
WatchESPN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData