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Ducks vs Trojans

Gameday · SAT FEB 27
OregonVSUSCAP #21
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip6:00 PM ET
WatchFS1
LineNot posted
Galen Center · Los Angeles, CA

Win probability

1912 blend
39% OREUSC 61%
Adj. efficiency31%
69%
SRS31%
69%
Elo56%
44%
USC +4.2
Proj. margin
143.2
Proj. total
66.1
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 5T.SimpkinsG · 2.4 APG12.5
  • 13S.StewartF · 5.2 RPG6.5
  • 12D.CarterG · 0.8 APG2.6
  • 22D.PryorF · 2.5 RPG2.9
  • 23W.LinG · 1.7 APG6.6

    USC: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +7.2Adj. net rating+10.8
    99thAdj. net rank82nd
    111.9Adj. offense113.8
    104.7Adj. defense103.0
    66.1Pace—
    0.8SRS3.3
    1669Elo1628
    12–20Record—

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 32 games
    70.8Points—
    73.9Opp points—
    49.5%eFG%—
    18.0%TO%—
    32.5%OREB%—
    .35FT rate—
    43%3PA rate—
    59%Assisted FG%—

    Last five games

    Oregon
    L60-70vs MD
    W85-79vs WASH
    L54-80@ ILL
    L62-63@ NU
    W85-71vs WIS

    Head to head

    Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27
    24-25USC 61 · ORE 82Sat, 3/1
    24-25ORE 68 · USC 60Wed, 12/4
    23-24ORE 78 · USC 69Thu, 2/1
    23-24USC 74 · ORE 82Thu, 12/28
    22-23USC 60 · ORE 78Thu, 2/9
    19-20USC 70 · ORE 79Thu, 1/23
    18-19ORE 49 · USC 66Thu, 2/21
    18-19USC 60 · ORE 81Sun, 1/13
    17-18ORE 54 · USC 74Fri, 3/9
    17-18ORE 70 · USC 72Thu, 2/15

    Game information

    TipSaturday, Feb 27 · 6:00 PM ET
    VenueGalen Center · Los Angeles, CA
    WatchFS1

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData