Blue Devils vs Cardinals
Tip7:00 PM ET
WatchESPN
LineNot posted
KFC Yum! Center · Louisville, KY
Win probability
1912 blend74% DUKELOU 26%
Adj. efficiency70%
30%
SRS67%
33%
Elo85%
15%
DUKE +1.4
Proj. margin
145.9
Proj. total
66.5
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Returning starters · 2025-26 stats
PPG
7D.SarrG · 1.1 APG6.4
1C.FosterG · 2.8 APG8.3
21P.Ngongba IIC · 1.1 BPG10.1
2C.BoozerG · 2.9 APG7.7
Louisville: no starters to list yet.
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+40.4Adj. net rating+27.4
2ndAdj. net rank17th
129.2Adj. offense124.1
88.7Adj. defense96.7
66.5Pace—
21.1SRS13.3
2349Elo2054
35–3Record—
Season per game
2025-26 · 38 games81.6Points—
63.6Opp points—
56.7%eFG%—
16.0%TO%—
30.8%OREB%—
.38FT rate—
44%3PA rate—
58%Assisted FG%—
Last five games
Duke
L72-73vs CONN
W80-75vs SJU
W81-58vs TCU
W71-65vs SIE
W74-70vs UVA
Louisville
L69-77@ MSU
W83-79vs USF
L73-78@ MIA
W62-58vs SMU
W92-89@ MIA
Head to head
Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-2725-26LOU 52 · DUKE 83Mon, 1/26
25-26DUKE 84 · LOU 73Tue, 1/6
24-25LOU 62 · DUKE 73Sat, 3/15
24-25DUKE 76 · LOU 65Sun, 12/8
23-24LOU 59 · DUKE 84Wed, 2/28
23-24DUKE 83 · LOU 69Tue, 1/23
22-23LOU 62 · DUKE 79Mon, 2/20
21-22DUKE 74 · LOU 65Sat, 1/29
20-21DUKE 70 · LOU 56Wed, 3/10
20-21LOU 80 · DUKE 73Sat, 2/27
Game information
TipWednesday, Feb 24 · 7:00 PM ET
VenueKFC Yum! Center · Louisville, KY
WatchESPN
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData


