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Tar Heels vs Blue Devils

Gameday · SAT FEB 13
North CarolinaVSDukeAP #2
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip5:30 PM ET
WatchABC
LineNot posted
Cameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC

Win probability

1912 blend
10% UNCDUKE 90%
Adj. efficiency9%
91%
SRS12%
88%
Elo10%
90%
DUKE +8.8
Proj. margin
147.6
Proj. total
67.4
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
  • 4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
  • 2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
  • 99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
  • 32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4
  • 7D.SarrG · 1.1 APG6.4
  • 1C.FosterG · 2.8 APG8.3
  • 21P.Ngongba IIC · 1.1 BPG10.1
  • 2C.BoozerG · 2.9 APG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
+23.3Adj. net rating+40.4
27thAdj. net rank2nd
121.7Adj. offense129.2
98.5Adj. defense88.7
68.3Pace66.5
11.4SRS21.1
1958Elo2349
24–9Record35–3

Season per game

2025-26 · 33 games / 2025-26 · 38 games
79.7Points81.6
71.6Opp points63.6
54.3%eFG%56.7%
14.0%TO%16.0%
28.2%OREB%30.8%
.37FT rate.38
42%3PA rate44%
57%Assisted FG%58%

Last five games

North Carolina
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
L61-76@ DUKE
W67-63vs CLEM
W89-82vs VT
Duke
L72-73vs CONN
W80-75vs SJU
W81-58vs TCU
W71-65vs SIE
W74-70vs UVA

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27
25-26UNC 61 · DUKE 76Sat, 3/7
25-26DUKE 68 · UNC 71Sat, 2/7
24-25UNC 71 · DUKE 74Fri, 3/14
24-25DUKE 82 · UNC 69Sat, 3/8
24-25UNC 70 · DUKE 87Sat, 2/1
23-24UNC 84 · DUKE 79Sat, 3/9
23-24DUKE 84 · UNC 93Sat, 2/3
22-23DUKE 62 · UNC 57Sat, 3/4
22-23UNC 57 · DUKE 63Sat, 2/4
21-22UNC 81 · DUKE 77Sat, 4/2

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 13 · 5:30 PM ET
VenueCameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC
WatchABC

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData