Tar Heels vs Fighting Irish
Tip7:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Purcell Pavilion · South Bend, IN
Win probability
1912 blend76% UNCND 24%
Adj. efficiency74%
26%
SRS66%
34%
Elo86%
14%
UNC +2.0
Proj. margin
148.6
Proj. total
67.4
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Returning starters · 2025-26 stats
PPG
15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4
11B.ShrewsberryG · 1.9 APG11.9
6B.KoehlerF · 3.2 RPG5.6
2L.ImesG · 1.7 APG4.7
0B.StevensG · 0.2 APG0.6
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+23.3Adj. net rating+8.3
27thAdj. net rank94th
121.7Adj. offense114.4
98.5Adj. defense106.1
68.3Pace66.6
11.4SRS3.8
1958Elo1636
24–9Record13–18
Season per game
2025-26 · 33 games / 2025-26 · 31 games79.7Points74.5
71.6Opp points75.3
54.3%eFG%52.3%
14.0%TO%17.0%
28.2%OREB%30.2%
.37FT rate.34
42%3PA rate44%
57%Assisted FG%47%
Last five games
North Carolina
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
L61-76@ DUKE
W67-63vs CLEM
W89-82vs VT
Notre Dame
L69-77@ BC
L78-86vs STAN
W96-90vs NCSU
L56-100vs DUKE
L68-73@ PITT
Head to head
2025-26–2026-2725-26ND 69 · UNC 91Wed, 1/21
Game information
TipTuesday, Feb 2 · 7:00 PM ET
VenuePurcell Pavilion · South Bend, IN
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData


