Tar Heels vs Orange

Gameday · SAT JAN 23
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip12:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
JMA Wireless Dome · Syracuse, NY

Win probability

1912 blend
72% UNCSYR 28%
Adj. efficiency69%
31%
SRS65%
35%
Elo82%
18%
UNC +1.2
Proj. margin
149.6
Proj. total
68.3
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
  • 4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
  • 2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
  • 99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
  • 32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4

    Syracuse: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +23.3Adj. net rating+10.8
    27thAdj. net rank82nd
    121.7Adj. offense114.3
    98.5Adj. defense103.5
    68.3Pace—
    11.4SRS4.3
    1958Elo1691
    24–9Record—

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 33 games
    79.7Points—
    71.6Opp points—
    54.3%eFG%—
    14.0%TO%—
    28.2%OREB%—
    .37FT rate—
    42%3PA rate—
    57%Assisted FG%—

    Last five games

    North Carolina
    L78-82vs VCU
    L79-80vs CLEM
    L61-76@ DUKE
    W67-63vs CLEM
    W89-82vs VT
    Syracuse
    L69-86@ SMU
    L69-71vs PITT
    L62-77@ LOU
    L83-88@ WAKE
    L64-77vs UNC

    Head to head

    2025-26–2026-27
    25-26UNC 77 · SYR 64Sat, 2/21
    25-26SYR 77 · UNC 87Mon, 2/2

    Game information

    TipSaturday, Jan 23 · 12:00 PM ET
    VenueJMA Wireless Dome · Syracuse, NY

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData