Cavaliers vs Tar Heels
Tip9:00 PM ET
WatchESPN
LineNot posted
Dean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC
Win probability
1912 blend55% UVAUNC 45%
Adj. efficiency48%
52%
SRS48%
52%
Elo70%
30%
UVA +1.8
Proj. margin
147.9
Proj. total
67.3
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Returning starters · 2025-26 stats
PPG- 30D.HallG · 4.4 APG5.9
28T.RidderF · 6.2 RPG15.6
17J.GrunlohC · 2.2 BPG7.1
5S.LewisG · 1.4 APG10.6- 11D.TillisF · 2.7 RPG4.1
15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+26.8Adj. net rating+23.3
18thAdj. net rank27th
123.3Adj. offense121.7
96.5Adj. defense98.5
66.2Pace68.3
13.8SRS11.4
2107Elo1958
30–6Record24–9
Season per game
2025-26 · 36 games / 2025-26 · 33 games80.4Points79.7
68.8Opp points71.6
54.7%eFG%54.3%
16.0%TO%14.0%
32.9%OREB%28.2%
.32FT rate.37
47%3PA rate42%
58%Assisted FG%57%
Last five games
Virginia
L72-79vs TENN
W82-73vs WRST
L70-74@ DUKE
W84-62vs MIA
W81-74vs NCSU
North Carolina
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
L61-76@ DUKE
W67-63vs CLEM
W89-82vs VT
Head to head
Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-2725-26UNC 85 · UVA 80Sat, 1/24
24-25UVA 66 · UNC 81Sat, 2/22
23-24UNC 54 · UVA 44Sat, 2/24
22-23UNC 59 · UVA 68Thu, 3/9
22-23UVA 63 · UNC 71Sat, 2/25
22-23UNC 58 · UVA 65Tue, 1/10
21-22UVA 43 · UNC 63Thu, 3/10
21-22UVA 58 · UNC 74Sat, 1/8
20-21UNC 48 · UVA 60Sat, 2/13
19-20UVA 64 · UNC 62Sat, 2/15
Game information
TipTuesday, Jan 19 · 9:00 PM ET
VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC
WatchESPN
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData


