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Mustangs vs Hornets

Gameday · THU JAN 14
Cal PolyVSSacramento State
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip10:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
The Well · Sacramento, CA

Win probability

1912 blend
55% CPSAC 45%
Adj. efficiency51%
49%
SRS51%
49%
Elo63%
37%
CP +1.4
Proj. margin
167.0
Proj. total
75.6
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 9P.BandeljG · 3.3 APG13.0
  • 14C.WardG · 1.6 APG14.5
  • 10H.MousaG · 2.0 APG20.4
  • 3J.DavisG · 1.8 APG5.4
  • 5G.VasilicG · 1.1 APG7.5

    Sacramento State: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    -4.8Adj. net rating-9.2
    220thAdj. net rank268th
    109.0Adj. offense104.9
    113.9Adj. defense114.1
    75.6Pace—
    -3.6SRS-6.8
    1655Elo1562
    14–19Record—

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 33 games
    82.1Points—
    85.0Opp points—
    51.9%eFG%—
    20.0%TO%—
    29.6%OREB%—
    .35FT rate—
    52%3PA rate—
    50%Assisted FG%—

    Last five games

    Cal Poly
    L69-72@ UCSD
    W108-76vs CSUB
    L85-107@ UCI
    L64-80@ UCSD
    W102-92vs LBSU

    Game information

    TipThursday, Jan 14 · 10:00 PM ET
    VenueThe Well · Sacramento, CA

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData