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Tar Heels vs Seminoles

Gameday · WED JAN 13
North CarolinaVSFlorida State
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip7:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Tucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Win probability

1912 blend
63% UNCFSU 37%
Adj. efficiency65%
35%
SRS59%
41%
Elo65%
35%
UNC +0.5
Proj. margin
151.4
Proj. total
68.3
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
  • 4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
  • 2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
  • 99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
  • 32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4

    Florida State: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +23.3Adj. net rating+12.9
    27thAdj. net rank67th
    121.7Adj. offense118.0
    98.5Adj. defense105.1
    68.3Pace—
    11.4SRS5.8
    1958Elo1851
    24–9Record—

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 33 games
    79.7Points—
    71.6Opp points—
    54.3%eFG%—
    14.0%TO%—
    28.2%OREB%—
    .37FT rate—
    42%3PA rate—
    57%Assisted FG%—

    Last five games

    North Carolina
    L78-82vs VCU
    L79-80vs CLEM
    L61-76@ DUKE
    W67-63vs CLEM
    W89-82vs VT

    Game information

    TipWednesday, Jan 13 · 7:00 PM ET
    VenueTucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData