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Cardinals vs Wildcats

Gameday · SAT DEC 12
LouisvilleAP #11VSKentuckyAP #23
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Battle for the Bluegrass
Tip4:00 PM ET
WatchABC
LineNot posted
Rupp Arena · Lexington, KY

Win probability

1912 blend
54% LOUUK 46%
Adj. efficiency50%
50%
SRS53%
47%
Elo59%
41%
LOU +1.5
Proj. margin
152.4
Proj. total
69.2
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
    • 24M.MorenoC · 1.5 BPG7.8
    • 3K.WilliamsG · 1.0 APG6.0
    • 9T.NoahF · 2.3 RPG3.0

    Louisville: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +27.4Adj. net rating+23.2
    17thAdj. net rank29th
    124.1Adj. offense121.5
    96.7Adj. defense98.3
    —Pace69.2
    13.3SRS9.6
    2054Elo1992
    —Record22–14

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 36 games
    —Points80.5
    —Opp points74.3
    —eFG%53.3%
    —TO%16.0%
    —OREB%31.2%
    —FT rate.37
    —3PA rate40%
    —Assisted FG%57%

    Last five games

    Louisville
    L69-77@ MSU
    W83-79vs USF
    L73-78@ MIA
    W62-58vs SMU
    W92-89@ MIA
    Kentucky
    L63-82@ ISU
    W89-84vs SCU
    L63-71@ FLA
    W78-72@ MIZ
    W87-82vs LSU

    Head to head

    2017-18–2026-27
    25-26UK 88 · LOU 96Tue, 11/11
    24-25LOU 85 · UK 93Sat, 12/14
    23-24UK 95 · LOU 76Thu, 12/21
    22-23LOU 63 · UK 86Sat, 12/31
    20-21UK 59 · LOU 62Sat, 12/26
    19-20LOU 70 · UK 78Sat, 12/28
    18-19UK 71 · LOU 58Sat, 12/29
    17-18LOU 61 · UK 90Fri, 12/29

    Game information

    TipSaturday, Dec 12 · 4:00 PM ET
    VenueRupp Arena · Lexington, KY
    WatchABC

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData