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Bears vs Retrievers

Gameday · THU NOV 12
Morgan StateVSUMBC
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip6:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Win probability

1912 blend
5% MORGUMBC 95%
Adj. efficiency5%
95%
SRS7%
93%
Elo4%
96%
UMBC +10.4
Proj. margin
150.7
Proj. total
68.5
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
  • 0C.MeeksG · 0.8 APG5.9
  • 2E.DavisATH · 3.3 RPG13.8
  • 1A.Worrell Jr.G · 1.1 APG17.4
  • 3R.LawsonG · 4.0 APG12.7
  • 55E.AlvinF · 3.6 RPG7.3
  • 1A.ValentineG · 3.9 APG11.9
  • 4J.KingG · 1.5 APG14.0
  • 2J.OdunowoF · 5.2 RPG8.4
  • 14J.TanchynF · 5.7 RPG6.5
  • 23R.JacobsF · 3.8 RPG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
-24.1Adj. net rating-2.5
354thAdj. net rank200th
98.3Adj. offense108.3
122.4Adj. defense110.8
70.5Pace66.6
-10.0SRS3.5
1355Elo1887
14–16Record24–9

Season per game

2025-26 · 30 games / 2025-26 · 33 games
75.3Points76.4
78.2Opp points67.6
48.3%eFG%54.4%
18.0%TO%14.0%
32.7%OREB%23.1%
.42FT rate.33
36%3PA rate39%
53%Assisted FG%45%

Last five games

Morgan State
L70-75vs DSU
W70-66vs COPP
W90-84vs NORF
L59-84vs HOW
W90-83@ SCST
UMBC
L83-86@ HOW
W74-59vs UVM
W91-69vs UML
W84-69vs UNH
W91-52@ NJIT

Head to head

2025-26–2026-27
25-26UMBC 81 · MORG 79Tue, 11/11

Game information

TipThursday, Nov 12 · 6:00 PM ET
VenueChesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · Baltimore, MD

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData