Fighting Illini vs Tar Heels
TipTBD
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Bridgestone Arena · Nashville, TN
Win probability
1912 blend78% ILLUNC 22%
Adj. efficiency79%
21%
SRS70%
30%
Elo85%
15%
ILL +4.4
Proj. margin
147.7
Proj. total
65.6
Proj. pace
Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Returning starters · 2025-26 stats
PPG
0D.MirkovicF · 8.0 RPG13.3
13T.IvisicC · 0.6 BPG10.4
15J.DavisF · 2.2 RPG5.4
2A.StojakovicG · 1.0 APG13.5
44Z.IvisicF · 4.5 RPG6.4
15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+36.6Adj. net rating+23.3
4thAdj. net rank27th
133.4Adj. offense121.7
96.8Adj. defense98.5
62.9Pace68.3
17.2SRS11.4
2262Elo1958
28–9Record24–9
Season per game
2025-26 · 37 games / 2025-26 · 33 games83.2Points79.7
68.8Opp points71.6
54.7%eFG%54.3%
14.0%TO%14.0%
32.6%OREB%28.2%
.33FT rate.37
50%3PA rate42%
50%Assisted FG%57%
Last five games
Illinois
L62-71@ CONN
W71-59vs IOWA
W65-55@ HOU
W76-55vs VCU
W105-70vs PENN
North Carolina
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
L61-76@ DUKE
W67-63vs CLEM
W89-82vs VT
Game information
TipSaturday, Jan 30 · time TBD
VenueBridgestone Arena · Nashville, TN
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData