Wildcats vs Tar Heels
Tip2:30 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Madison Square Garden · New York, NY
Win probability
1912 blend49% UKUNC 51%
Adj. efficiency50%
50%
SRS44%
56%
Elo55%
45%
UNC +0.0
Proj. margin
151.3
Proj. total
68.8
Proj. pace
Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Returning starters · 2025-26 stats
PPG
24M.MorenoC · 1.5 BPG7.8
3K.WilliamsG · 1.0 APG6.0
9T.NoahF · 2.3 RPG3.0
15J.StevensonF · 4.4 RPG8.1
4J.YoungG · 0.3 APG1.7
2I.DenisG · 0.1 APG1.9
99J.HolbrookF · 0.6 RPG0.2
32E.SmithG · 0.6 APG1.4
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+23.2Adj. net rating+23.3
29thAdj. net rank27th
121.5Adj. offense121.7
98.3Adj. defense98.5
69.2Pace68.3
9.6SRS11.4
1992Elo1958
22–14Record24–9
Season per game
2025-26 · 36 games / 2025-26 · 33 games80.5Points79.7
74.3Opp points71.6
53.3%eFG%54.3%
16.0%TO%14.0%
31.2%OREB%28.2%
.37FT rate.37
40%3PA rate42%
57%Assisted FG%57%
Last five games
Kentucky
L63-82@ ISU
W89-84vs SCU
L63-71@ FLA
W78-72@ MIZ
W87-82vs LSU
North Carolina
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM
L61-76@ DUKE
W67-63vs CLEM
W89-82vs VT
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26UNC 67 · UK 64Tue, 12/2
23-24UNC 83 · UK 87Sat, 12/16
21-22UNC 69 · UK 98Sat, 12/18
20-21UNC 75 · UK 63Sat, 12/19
18-19UK 80 · UNC 72Sat, 12/22
Game information
TipSaturday, Dec 19 · 2:30 PM ET
VenueMadison Square Garden · New York, NY
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData