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Spartans vs Blue Devils

Gameday · TUE NOV 10
Michigan StateAP #6VSDukeAP #2
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip7:00 PM ET
WatchESPN
LineNot posted
United Center · Chicago, IL

Win probability

1912 blend
26% MSUDUKE 74%
Adj. efficiency25%
75%
SRS30%
70%
Elo24%
76%
DUKE +3.7
Proj. margin
144.2
Proj. total
66.5
Proj. pace

Neutral site. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Returning starters · 2025-26 stats

PPG
    • 7D.SarrG · 1.1 APG6.4
    • 1C.FosterG · 2.8 APG8.3
    • 21P.Ngongba IIC · 1.1 BPG10.1
    • 2C.BoozerG · 2.9 APG7.7

    Michigan State: no starters to list yet.

    Ratings

    CBBD · 2025-26
    +29.5Adj. net rating+40.4
    11thAdj. net rank2nd
    122.7Adj. offense129.2
    93.2Adj. defense88.7
    —Pace66.5
    15.2SRS21.1
    2150Elo2349
    —Record35–3

    Season per game

    2025-26 · 38 games
    —Points81.6
    —Opp points63.6
    —eFG%56.7%
    —TO%16.0%
    —OREB%30.8%
    —FT rate.38
    —3PA rate44%
    —Assisted FG%58%

    Last five games

    Duke
    L72-73vs CONN
    W80-75vs SJU
    W81-58vs TCU
    W71-65vs SIE
    W74-70vs UVA

    Head to head

    2017-18–2026-27
    25-26DUKE 66 · MSU 60Sat, 12/6
    23-24DUKE 74 · MSU 65Tue, 11/14
    21-22MSU 76 · DUKE 85Sun, 3/20
    20-21MSU 75 · DUKE 69Tue, 12/1
    19-20DUKE 87 · MSU 75Tue, 12/3
    18-19MSU 68 · DUKE 67Sun, 3/31
    17-18DUKE 88 · MSU 81Tue, 11/14

    Game information

    TipTuesday, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET
    VenueUnited Center · Chicago, IL
    WatchESPN

    Abbreviations

    Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
    SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
    EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
    PacePossessions per 40 minutes
    PPGPoints per game
    eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
    TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
    OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
    FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
    3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

    Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData