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Air Force at Northern Illinois

Final
Air Force 
28–7
Air Force wins by 21
Northern Illinois 
1Q2Q3Q4Q
AF77140
NIU0700
OverviewP x PBoxAnalytics
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Air Force4-1
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Air Force wins by 21
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    EPA by down

    CollegeFootballData
    EPA · 1st down0.36
    EPA · 2nd down0.09
    EPA · 3rd down-0.42

    By quarter

    CollegeFootballData
    1Q2Q3Q4Q
    EPA / play0.250.13-0.37-0.50
    Success rate42%60%40%38%
    Explosiveness0.841.030.980.71
    Total EPA3.01.3-5.6-4.0

    Advanced metrics

    Havoc, passing depth and the full-game breakdowns are part of 1912 Premium.

    Unlock

    Havoc

    CollegeFootballData
    Havoc rate00.0
    Havoc · front seven00.0
    Havoc · secondary00.0
    Havoc plays made00.0
    Snaps defended00.0
    Havoc rate allowed00.0

    Passing depth

    CollegeFootballData
    Completion rate00.0
    Air yards00.0
    Avg. depth of target00.0
    Yards after catch00.0
    Yards after catch / completion00.0

    Full-game advanced

    CollegeFootballData
    Plays00.0
    Drives00.0
    EPA / play00.0
    Total EPA00.0
    Success rate00.0
    Explosiveness00.0
    Power success00.0
    Stuff rate00.0
    Scoring opportunities00.0
    Points per opportunity00.0
    Opp-adj EPA / play00.0
    Opp-adj success rate00.0

    Drive log

    7 drives
    PUNT3 plays, 6 yards, 2:10 · from OWN 2500.0
    INT9 plays, 69 yards, 4:53 · from OWN 2500.0
    TD7 plays, 71 yards, 3:47 · from OWN 2900.0
    END OF HALF1 play, -6 yards, 0:41 · from OWN 2500.0
    PUNT3 plays, -3 yards, 1:49 · from OWN 2500.0
    DOWNS12 plays, 62 yards, 5:30 · from OWN 2500.0
    DOWNS8 plays, 34 yards, 2:01 · from OWN 200.0

    Win probability path

    Kickoff00.0
    25%00.0
    50%00.0
    75%00.0
    Final00.0

    Field position & tempo

    CollegeFootballData
    Avg. start · yard line00.0
    Avg. start · exp. points00.0
    Plays00.0
    Drives00.0
    Possession Time00.0

    Ratings & expectancy

    CollegeFootballData
    Postgame win expectancy00.0

    1912 EPA leaders

    Top 10
    #1
    D.Rogers
    7 REC · 81 YDS · 11.6 AVG
    00.0
    #45
    T.Johnson Jr.
    8 CAR · 47 YDS · 5.9 AVG
    00.0
    #25
    B.Kerperin
    1 SACKS · 10 TOT · 8 SOLO
    00.0
    #0
    L.Bryant
    3 REC · 35 YDS · 11.7 AVG
    00.0
    #6
    J.Nelson
    00.0
    #93
    F.Omotoso
    3 TOT · 3 SOLO
    00.0
    #50
    M.Scarlett
    2 TOT · 2 SOLO
    00.0
    #2
    A.Jones
    6 TOT · 4 SOLO
    00.0
    #97
    J.King
    3 TOT · 2 SOLO
    00.0
    #7
    C.Thompson
    1 REC · 7 YDS · 7.0 AVG
    00.0

    Our own metric, computed from the play-by-play — credited on 110 of 114 plays carrying an expected-points value.

    Abbreviations

    EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play
    SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th
    ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays
    HavocShare of plays with a tackle for loss, forced fumble, interception or pass defensed
    Opp-adjOpponent-adjusted — scaled against the defense faced
    YACYards after catch
    OppScoring opportunity — a drive reaching the opponent's 40