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‹

Arkansas State at Southern Miss

Arkansas State 
at
Southern Miss 
Kickoff in
00:00:00
Saturday
Oct 17
Kickoff
7:00 PM ET
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS
OverviewP x PBoxAnalytics
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    An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.

    PrivacyTermsGuidelinesCopyright© 2026 1912 Society
    Arkansas State2-4
    at
    Southern Miss1-4
    Kickoff in
    00:00:00
    Saturday
    Oct 17
    Kickoff
    7:00 PM ET
    M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS

    Matchup predictor

    67%
    ARST
    33%
    USM

    Pregame win probability · CollegeFootballData

    The line

    Bovada via CFBD
    Spread
    Arkansas State -6.5
    Total
    62
    Moneyline
    -275 / +225
    73.3% / 30.8% implied

    Lines are shown for information only.

    1912 Coins are earned in the app — no cash value, and they can't be bought or cashed out. Nothing here is real-money wagering. Responsible Play

    Last five games

    Arkansas State
    L49-56vs USA
    L20-23@ UL
    W17-14vs KENN
    L7-31@ TCU
    W52-7vs WGA
    Southern Miss
    L34-55@ TROY
    L21-24@ TULN
    L20-48vs CONN
    L8-43@ AUB
    W49-3vs ALCN

    Head to head

    Last 10 · 1978–2025
    2025USM 27 · ARST 21Sat, 11/8
    2024ARST 44 · USM 28Sat, 10/19
    2023USM 37 · ARST 44Sat, 9/23
    2022ARST 19 · USM 20Sat, 10/15
    2008USM 27 · ARST 24Sat, 9/13
    2007ARST 10 · USM 16Sat, 11/24
    2005USM 31 · ARST 19Tue, 12/20
    1980ARST 0 · USM 35Fri, 10/17
    1979ARST 6 · USM 14Fri, 11/16
    1978USM 21 · ARST 6Fri, 9/8

    Game information

    KickoffSaturday, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
    VenueM. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS
    SurfaceTurf · outdoor

    Abbreviations

    EPAExpected points added — the change in expected points from one play
    SRSuccess rate — plays gaining 50% of the yards to go on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd or 4th
    WPWin probability — the live model's read on who wins from here
    Deserve to winCollegeFootballData's measure of who earned the result, independent of the score
    ExplExplosiveness — average EPA on successful plays